538 Forecast 2024. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Our new house forecast will be published next week, on september 25th.
Notice any bugs or missing polls? The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections is based on analysis from the american association of public opinion research (aapor) comparing actual results to national polls.
Updating Average For Each Candidate In 2024 Presidential Polls, Accounting For Each Poll's Recency, Sample Size, Methodology And House Effects.
Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
One Of The Nation's Most Accurate Forecasters In 2020.
This is an electoral map projection derived from the 2024 election forecast from 538.
538 Forecast 2024 Images References :
In Polls Taken Before The Debate, Mr Trump Led Mr Biden By A Margin Of 45% To 44%, Whereas He Beat Ms Harris In A Hypothetical Race By 48% To 42%.
This is an electoral map projection derived from the 2024 election forecast from 538.
Updating Average For Each Candidate In 2024 Presidential Polls, Accounting For Each Poll's Recency, Sample Size, Methodology And House Effects.